Ticker drill-down
ANET
Position, theses, and decisions grouped by ticker.
Position
Shares
1.399425528
Avg cost
$160.44
Theses
long · medium
ANET enters the post-NVDA inflection point. Semis rallied strongly today (AMD +7.4%, INTC +6.7%) ahead of NVDA earnings AMC. ANET is AI networking-adjacent and remains our highest-risk position at ~11% below cost basis. …
long · medium
ANET reports Q1 earnings May 5 AMC — this is the key binary event. Consensus expects EPS of $0.81 on revenue of $2.62B (+30% YoY). All four hyperscalers have confirmed or raised AI capex, directly benefiting ANET's datac…
long · low
Arista Networks is a legacy position from earlier accumulation. The stock has significantly appreciated above original cost basis and prior thesis price targets. ANET benefits from AI-driven datacenter networking demand …
long · medium
ANET position (1 share @ $140 avg). TXN's blowout Q1 earnings (+17.4% today) signal strong semi/data center demand cycle — positive read-through for ANET's hyperscaler networking business. Google Cloud Next catalysts are…
long · high
ANET CONFIRMED: Strong Q4 beat (EPS $0.82 vs $0.76, revenue $2.487B vs $2.38B est) and Q1 guidance $2.6B crushing $2.448B consensus. Goldman raised PT to $188, Evercore raised PT higher. Multiple analysts calling it 'str…
Decisions
All decisions →HOLD2026-05-190 sh$139.86NVDA earnings binary event May 20 (tomorrow, AMC) creates rule-gated hold. Rule 27 macro_risk constraint active: fragile macro-resolution window. ANET is AI-adjacent (networking in…HOLD2026-05-180 sh$140.39ANET position (1.40 shares, $198.67 market value, 2.5% of portfolio) held through NVDA earnings. ANET is highest-beta play to AI networking validation; bull case (NVDA beat) sugges…HOLD2026-05-150 sh$143.58ANET is held through NVDA earnings. Current price $143.66 is 14% below cost basis ($160.44), but Rule 41 stabilization gate explicitly BLOCKS additions: the stock failed to hold $1…HOLD2026-05-120 sh$141.20HOLD current ANET position. Playbook action 271 specifies exit_partial_pct with magnitude 0, which is semantically a hold. Stock at $141.28 is 14% below $160.44 cost basis. Rule 41…HOLD2026-05-110 sh$136.72ANET at $137.00 is at critical inflection point. Playbook action requires (1) price hold above $135 for 2+ sessions AND (2) analyst upgrades post-selloff (criterion 2 is met). Howe…HOLD2026-05-070 sh$140.89ANET held per Rule 41 post-earnings-selloff gate. Stock fell ~14% on beat-and-raise (revenue $2.71B, EPS $0.87 beat, guidance raised), typical Rule 41 multiple-compression event in…HOLD2026-05-060 sh$141.71ANET post-earnings selloff to $141.81 (-15.4%) presents an attractive risk/reward on valuation, but Rule 33 (averaging down constraint) is not fully satisfied. The playbook thesis …BUY2026-05-050.899425528 sh$171.80ANET earnings binary event resolved favorably tonight with strong Q1 beat (+7.9% EPS surprise, +4.6% revenue surprise) and raised FY2026 guidance to 25% growth with AI networking t…HOLD2026-05-050 sh$172.17ANET earnings are after-hours TODAY. Position is 0.5 shares (~$86, ~1% of portfolio). The playbook correctly identifies this as a post-earnings decision framework: no action today.…SELL2026-05-040.5 sh$174.54ANET earnings binary event tomorrow (May 5). Position is profitable (+26% from cost basis) and near analyst consensus PT (~$178). Risk/reward asymmetric to downside; upside capped …HOLD2026-05-010 sh$175.23ANET at $175.23, currently at exactly 25% above cost basis ($140 → $175.23 = 25.2% gain). Thesis #221 directs: 'hold through earnings [May 5 AMC] unless stock rallies meaningfully …HOLD2026-04-300 sh$172.99ANET thesis #221 (medium confidence) de-risked by hyperscaler earnings: GOOGL Cloud 63%, Azure 40%, AWS 28%, META capex $125-145B all confirm networking infrastructure demand spike…HOLD2026-04-280 sh$164.71ANET dropped 5.3% today to $165 (currently $165 at $165). Position is 2.1% of portfolio (~$165). Thesis #221 thesis shows +16.7% gain from $140 cost basis, but today's weakness tri…HOLD2026-04-270 sh$171.91ANET is an orphan position: thesis #218 is low confidence, position is +27% above cost basis ($178.23 current vs $140 cost), and original thesis targets ($155-165) are already brea…HOLD2026-04-240 sh$179.00Position held at 1 share (~$178.88, 2.2% of portfolio). Recent sell on 2026-04-07 had significant negative outcome (-20.6% 7d loss), indicating the exit thesis was well-timed. Curr…SELL2026-04-070.55 sh$131.83ANET concentration at 35% of non-cash portfolio is excessive given -11% unrealized loss and binary Iran event tonight. Playbook calls for reduction to 1.5 shares max; current posit…SELL2026-04-060.75 sh$125.84ANET is 53% of non-cash portfolio at -11% unrealized loss ($285 → $287 at $125.89). Playbook recommends 0.5-1.0 share trim for concentration risk ahead of Tuesday Iran deadline bin…SELL2026-04-022 sh$126.61ANET is 66% of non-cash portfolio value (~$602 current, down from $140 avg cost to $127.50 current = -8.9% unrealized loss). Represents severe concentration risk in a stagflation/w…HOLD2026-03-314.29999999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875 sh$126.99No playbook available. Holding existing position. No new signals to act on.SKIP2026-02-164.29999999999999982236431605997495353221893310546875 sh$0.00ANET thesis confirmed with strong Q4 beat and Q1 guidance crush. Goldman PT $188 (23% upside) provides favorable risk/reward. AI networking infrastructure demand is secular and les…HOLD2026-02-160 sh$0.00ANET thesis (56) is fundamentally strong — Q4 beat, Q1 guidance crush, AI networking tailwind. Goldman PT $188 (23% upside from $152) is attractive. However, execution is premature…HOLD2026-02-130 sh$144.50ANET surged ~10% post-earnings today; playbook correctly identifies consolidation setup at $145-155 over 2-3 sessions as entry. Current price likely still elevated post-surge. With…HOLD2026-02-130 sh$142.36ANET surged 12% today on strong fundamentals (EPS beat, margin resilience, Goldman PT $188). However, risk notes explicitly warn against chasing gap-ups—wait 2-3 sessions minimum f…HOLD2026-02-120 sh$0.00ANET beat is compelling (thesis_id 56, confidence 0.85), but CPI report tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET is the critical event. Holding $1,133.74 cash before this binary outcome is prudent. …HOLD2026-02-120 sh$136.07HOLD2026-02-110 sh$141.11