HOLD NVDA
0 shares at $188.74 on 2026-02-12
Reasoning
Current 0.9 shares at avg cost $184.30 is well-positioned. AMAT's earnings validation of AI capex acceleration (thesis_id 47, confidence 0.75) supports holding. Playbook recommends 'only add $50 worth if stock pulls back to $183-186' and 'do NOT add above $190.' Feb 25 earnings is 13 days away — this is a major binary event. Preserve capital and avoid over-commitment before this event. Current position already captures the AI thesis.