HOLD NVDA
0 shares at $184.81 on 2026-02-16
Reasoning
NVDA thesis (47) is sound long-term, but execution timing is poor given binary event risk. Current position 0.9 shares at $184.30 avg cost is already exposed. Feb 20 Supreme Court tariff ruling and Feb 25 earnings create extreme volatility ahead. Playbook recommends buying at $183 or aggressively below $175, but portfolio is already semiconductor-heavy (6/8 holdings). Conservative approach: hold existing 0.9 shares, defer new buy until post-tariff ruling clarity (Feb 20+). If tariff ruling goes against Trump (70% probability) and NVDA dips to $175-178, then execute aggressive add. Current $1,134 cash should be reserved for post-ruling volatility, not pre-ruling accumulation.