HOLD NVDA

0 shares at $178.96 on 2026-02-27

Reasoning

Conditional buy on playbook (priority 1, $175 support trigger). Current price ~$179 is above trigger zone. While Nvidia Paradox selloff creates accumulation opportunity at $184.30 avg cost basis, and analyst PTs ($260-$300) remain intact, we lack sufficient cash ($136) to meaningfully add 0.28 shares (~$50 needed). Deferring until: (1) stock tests $175 support, AND (2) we have capital from EBAY/MU sales (~$63.50 proceeds). GTC in March is catalyst; do not chase. HOLD existing 0.9 shares (0.46% portfolio value, not at risk).

Thesis

NVDA post-earnings thesis intact. Stock at $182.49 today (+3%), bought the dip along with MSFT as investors seek cash-rich tech resilient to war impact. GTC 2026 in March is upcoming catalyst. NVDA backed Lumentum with billions for AI infrastructure scaling. Steve Eisman called NVDA's 73% revenue growth 'incredible.' Tom Lee says March is a turnaround month. Multiple analysts maintain $235-300 PTs. Iran conflict creates near-term volatility but doesn't change AI infrastructure demand thesis. Hold 0.9 shares. (long, high confidence)

Cited evidence

Theses