Day 0 · Updated 2026-05-20
$7,930.60 +0.12% today · -0.87% all time · -7.00% vs S&P
Performance
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Cumulative P&L
vs S&P 500
Latest decisions
All decisions →HOLDAVGO2026-05-20— sh$418.08AVGO buy (invest_dollar $80) is CONDITIONAL on NVDA beat-and-raise (Scenario A only). Thesis #257 explicitly gates entry…HOLDGOOGL2026-05-20— sh$387.06GOOGL sell (exit_partial_pct 50%) is CONDITIONAL on NVDA beat-and-raise (Scenario A only). Current price $387.21 is belo…HOLDANET2026-05-19— sh$139.86NVDA earnings binary event May 20 (tomorrow, AMC) creates rule-gated hold. Rule 27 macro_risk constraint active: fragile…HOLDGOOGL2026-05-19— sh$388.88NVDA earnings binary event May 20 (tomorrow, AMC) creates rule-gated hold. Rule 27 macro_risk constraint active: fragile…HOLDAMZN2026-05-19— sh$258.92NVDA earnings binary event on May 20 (tomorrow, AMC) creates rule-gated hold. Rule 27 macro_risk constraint active: frag…HOLDANET2026-05-18— sh$140.39ANET position (1.40 shares, $198.67 market value, 2.5% of portfolio) held through NVDA earnings. ANET is highest-beta pl…HOLDGOOGL2026-05-18— sh$399.00GOOGL position (1.12 shares, $452.60 market value, 5.7% of portfolio) held through NVDA earnings. Current price $405.0 h…HOLDAMZN2026-05-18— sh$264.62AMZN position (2.06 shares, $547.23 market value, 6.9% of portfolio) is held through NVDA earnings on May 20 per macro r…HOLDANET2026-05-15— sh$143.58ANET is held through NVDA earnings. Current price $143.66 is 14% below cost basis ($160.44), but Rule 41 stabilization g…HOLDGOOGL2026-05-15— sh$396.00GOOGL is held pending NVDA earnings clarity and pre-NVDA momentum. Current price $400.00 is below thesis exit target of …HOLDAMZN2026-05-15— sh$262.87AMZN is held through NVDA earnings (May 20) per explicit risk guidance. The stock is a core AI-adjacent position with an…INVALIDCRM2026-05-14— sh$168.26[SKIPPED: intent exit_full resolved to 0 shares against held=0] CRM position (0.409 shares, ~$69 at current price of $16…SELLCRM2026-05-130.408601052 sh$166.42EXECUTION WITH CONFIDENCE ADJUSTMENT: Playbook recommends exit_full on thesis #252 (weak conviction, macro constraints).…HOLDANET2026-05-12— sh$141.20HOLD current ANET position. Playbook action 271 specifies exit_partial_pct with magnitude 0, which is semantically a hol…HOLDAMZN2026-05-12— sh$264.23HOLD current AMZN position. Playbook action 270 specifies exit_partial_pct with magnitude 0, which is semantically a hol…SELLCRM2026-05-120.408601052 sh$171.08CRM at $171.41 has breached the $170 invalidation level from thesis #238. Stock is 8% below $186.70 cost basis. REVERSAL…BUYGOOGL2026-05-110.115953817 sh$390.90GOOGL at $390.85 is well below thesis exit target of $420. Position is currently 1.002 shares (~$391 market value, 4.9% …HOLDCRM2026-05-11— sh$176.35CRM at $176.45 is below playbook entry thesis, but a HOLD is prudent here due to compounding binary and macro risks. CRM…HOLDANET2026-05-11— sh$136.72ANET at $137.00 is at critical inflection point. Playbook action requires (1) price hold above $135 for 2+ sessions AND …BUYAMZN2026-05-110.061562068 sh$269.46AMZN at $269.33 remains well below thesis exit target of $300-310. Position is currently 2.002 shares (~$539 market valu…HOLDANET2026-05-07— sh$140.89ANET held per Rule 41 post-earnings-selloff gate. Stock fell ~14% on beat-and-raise (revenue $2.71B, EPS $0.87 beat, gui…HOLDGOOGL2026-05-07— sh$394.86GOOGL position ($396, 5.0% of portfolio) is held per thesis #233 targeting $420 exit. Current price $394.99 is ~0.02% be…HOLDAMZN2026-05-07— sh$271.81AMZN position ($471 market value, 5.9% of portfolio) is held per thesis #232. Current price $271.83 remains below consen…HOLDCRM2026-05-07— sh$187.29CRM at $187.53 is appropriately held ahead of May 26-27 earnings binary event per Rule 27 (macro-risk constraint during …BUYGOOGL2026-05-060.381168353 sh$396.63GOOGL at $396.67 is well below thesis exit target ($420 per playbook). Current position is 0.62 shares (~$246.26, 3.1% o…
Recent learnings
Learning →What's working
thesis
26 trades · -2.38% avg
What didn't
No closed losers in window.
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